DT
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总统先生，
我从未隐瞒过自己通常觉得与共和党人比与民主党人更接近的事实。
我不知道确切原因。也许我一直觉得共和党人更容易让人依赖：少一些华丽的辞藻，多一些算计、商业头脑和常识。也许那只是我的个人偏见。
所以当您再次当选总统时，我真心高兴。
出于某种原因，我周围几乎所有人似乎都反对您。有时我甚至在谈话中为您辩护。我通常会说：等等，让这人干一干。让我们看看结果。
我仍然想信任您。
但昨天我看到一篇报道，说您计划大幅增加便宜牛肉的进口，以降低美国消费者的价格。
我第一个想法是：好。如果肉价变便宜了，普通家庭会受益。
随后出现了第二个想法。
美国牧场主怎么办？
如果美国生产者已经面临高成本、牛群缩减和其他压力，而政府的回应是向市场开放大量更便宜的进口牛肉，这难道不会对国内生产者施加更大压力吗？
接着情况就变得奇怪起来。
今天，牛肉便宜了一点。
明天，可能会有更少的美国生产者。
那时价格会怎样？
总统先生，您是个商人。正因为如此，我尤其想理解您的逻辑。
您肯定不会只看几个月后的牛肉价格。
您的计划在五年后会是什么样子？
还有多少美国牧场主还能维持体面生计？
国内牛群会增长吗？
美国会不会变得更依赖进口？
最重要的是：这些额外进口在现实中能将普通消费者的价格降低多少？
因为如果对家庭的好处很小，而对美国生产者的损害很大，那很难称得上是一笔划算的买卖。
我仍然想信任您，总统先生。
这正是我提出这些问题的原因：
您真的确定今天更便宜的牛肉不会让美国明天付出更高的代价吗？
观察者
我从未隐瞒过自己通常觉得与共和党人比与民主党人更接近的事实。
我不知道确切原因。也许我一直觉得共和党人更容易让人依赖：少一些华丽的辞藻，多一些算计、商业头脑和常识。也许那只是我的个人偏见。
所以当您再次当选总统时，我真心高兴。
出于某种原因，我周围几乎所有人似乎都反对您。有时我甚至在谈话中为您辩护。我通常会说：等等，让这人干一干。让我们看看结果。
我仍然想信任您。
但昨天我看到一篇报道，说您计划大幅增加便宜牛肉的进口，以降低美国消费者的价格。
我第一个想法是：好。如果肉价变便宜了，普通家庭会受益。
随后出现了第二个想法。
美国牧场主怎么办？
如果美国生产者已经面临高成本、牛群缩减和其他压力，而政府的回应是向市场开放大量更便宜的进口牛肉，这难道不会对国内生产者施加更大压力吗？
接着情况就变得奇怪起来。
今天，牛肉便宜了一点。
明天，可能会有更少的美国生产者。
那时价格会怎样？
总统先生，您是个商人。正因为如此，我尤其想理解您的逻辑。
您肯定不会只看几个月后的牛肉价格。
您的计划在五年后会是什么样子？
还有多少美国牧场主还能维持体面生计？
国内牛群会增长吗？
美国会不会变得更依赖进口？
最重要的是：这些额外进口在现实中能将普通消费者的价格降低多少？
因为如果对家庭的好处很小，而对美国生产者的损害很大，那很难称得上是一笔划算的买卖。
我仍然想信任您，总统先生。
这正是我提出这些问题的原因：
您真的确定今天更便宜的牛肉不会让美国明天付出更高的代价吗？
观察者
Original text: English
Mr. President,I have never hidden the fact that I have usually felt closer to Republicans than Democrats.
I do not really know why. Maybe I have always felt that Republicans are a little easier to rely on: less beautiful rhetoric, more calculation, business sense and common sense. Maybe that is simply my personal bias.
So when you were elected President again, I was genuinely glad.
Almost everyone around me, for some reason, seems to be against you. Sometimes I even find myself defending you in conversations. I usually say: wait, let the man work. Let us see the result.
And I still want to trust you.
But yesterday I came across a report about your plan to sharply increase imports of cheaper beef in order to reduce prices for American consumers.
My first thought was: good. If meat gets cheaper, ordinary families benefit.
Then came the second thought.
What happens to American ranchers?
If American producers are already facing high costs, shrinking cattle herds and other pressures, and the government responds by opening the market to a much larger volume of cheaper imported beef, could that not put even more pressure on domestic producers?
And then the situation becomes strange.
Today, beef gets a little cheaper.
Tomorrow, there may be fewer American producers.
And what happens to prices then?
Mr. President, you are a businessman. That is exactly why I especially want to understand your logic.
Surely you are not looking only at the price of beef a few months from now.
What does your plan look like five years from now?
How many American ranchers will still be able to make a decent living?
Will the domestic cattle herd grow?
Will America become more dependent on imports?
And most importantly: how much can these additional imports realistically lower prices for ordinary consumers?
Because if the benefit to families is small, while the damage to American producers is significant, it will be hard to call that a good deal.
I still want to trust you, Mr. President.
That is exactly why I am asking:
Are you really sure that cheaper beef today will not cost America much more tomorrow?
Observer
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分享链接: https://lettertoleader.com/zh/united-states/president/239-us-beef-prices-will-cheaper-imports-hurt-american-ranchers